Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97%
Voorspellers
30
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd17 mrt 26, 14:08 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic by EOY 2031?
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Manifold MarketsWill NATO cease to exist before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran ceases to exist as a sovereign nation-state by December 31, 2026. "Ceases to exist" means the Islamic Republic of Iran is no longer recognized as an independent country by the United Nations, its territory is partitioned among other nations, or it is formally dissolved or annexed.
- Resolution will be determined by official UN recognition status and major international news sources (Reuters, AP, BBC).
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
