Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.)
TechOne-Off1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 65%
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6
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd23 jul 26, 17:49 UTC1 jan 28, 07:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point between July 25, 2026, and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM (my local time), I travel to a location that is 500 or more miles away from my primary residence.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Measurement: Distance is measured as a straight-line ("as the crow flies") distance from my primary residence to my furthest point of travel, calculated using Google Maps or an equivalent mapping tool.
- Exclusions: Travel undertaken or completed on or before July 23, 2026, does not count toward this market.
- As of July 23, 2026, I am currently 496 miles away from home, which does not meet the 500-mile threshold and is excluded from the timeline.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.)?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 65% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.) afgewikkeld?
- Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.) wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria