Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 63%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd17 mei 26, 21:23 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketIs Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰
Manifold MarketsTurner Prize 2026 Winner
PolymarketWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketLyon curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Last summer I was studying German with the goal of reading original texts.
- I got to B1 before stopping, due to "feeling the AGI" too much and deciding continuing study wasn't the best use of my time.
- Resolution criteria:
- Resolves YES if, at any point between market creation and Dec 31, 2026, I resume a consistent German self-study routine (or comparable effort — e.g., re-enroll in structured tutoring, plan on enrolling in language school, etc.)
- Otherwise, it will resolve to NO at closing.
- As this is a personal matter, the market will resolve based on my own records and verification of my study activity.
