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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd26 mrt 26, 15:14 UTC30 sep 26, 15:09 UTC
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KalshiRegels
I will be doing the AFFINE alignment seminar for one month in a Czech castle, and also do my high school final exams the same time.
- By September 2026, will I regret having done AFFINE instead of just finals (100%) or not having committed to AFFINE fully? (0%).
- It is noteworthy that AFFINE will likely have a year-long extension for 10 potential promising ASI alignment researchers, out of ~30.
- My chance is lower by committing less.
- Similarly, I may have worse final exam results, but the consequences of this don't seem very clear, given I don't care much which university I go to.
- If I regret nothing, that would be great and id just pick the one I'm closer to regretting.
Open markten
Society & CultureKALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.8 million96%
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.9 million89%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 18K
- 24u volume
- € 5,9K
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Totaal volume
- € 799,2
- 24u volume
- € 799,2
POLYMARKETIs Earth flat?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 50,5K
- 24u volume
- € 558,3
POLYMARKETIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Yes+9.0pt58.4%
- No-9.0pt41.6%
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- 24u volume
- € 542,3
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+4.0pt79.2%
- Yes-4.0pt20.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 20K
- 24u volume
- € 528,3
FORECASTEXWill University of Michigan rank first for public universities in 2027?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Totaal volume
- € 522,5
- 24u volume
- € 522,5
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- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I regret AFFINE or school??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 50% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I regret AFFINE or school? afgewikkeld?
- Will I regret AFFINE or school? wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I regret AFFINE or school? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I will be doing the AFFINE alignment seminar for one month in a Czech castle, and also do my high school final exams the same time.