Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 77.6%
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd29 dec 25, 23:49 UTC29 dec 26, 23:49 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Grokipedia surpass English Wikipedia in article count by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn 2030, will Wikipedia's article on Race and Intelligence still falsely claim the existence of a scientific consensus for 0% genetic causation?
Manifold MarketsWill NYT write an article about a scandal at 80,000 Hours, before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRegels
Main article, not talk page or internal page.
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Open markten
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 30,8K
- 24u volume
- € 18K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Totaal volume
- € 8,7K
- 24u volume
- € 7,7K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,4K
- 24u volume
- € 952,2
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Totaal volume
- € 516,1
- 24u volume
- € 516,1
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Totaal volume
- € 516,1
- 24u volume
- € 516,1
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 136,3K
- 24u volume
- € 419
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I be mentioned by name in a Wikipedia article before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 78% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I be mentioned by name in a Wikipedia article before 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will I be mentioned by name in a Wikipedia article before 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 29 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I be mentioned by name in a Wikipedia article before 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Main article, not talk page or internal page.