Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 20:15 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 86%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd15 dec 25, 17:14 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will I be able to hail a driverless Zoox ride in San Francisco by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill I be able to hail a driverless Zoox ride in San Francisco by the end of 2027
Manifold MarketsWhen will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?
Manifold MarketsThe first fully autonomous vehicle will be sold to consumers in 2026 — but it won’t be from Tesla
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiOpenRouter AI token usage in October
KalshiRegels
I am currently approved for Waymo in the SF peninsula service area, and am on the waiting list for freeway access.
- I have not yet used Waymo, but I plan to before the end of 2025 (https://manifold.markets/MingweiSamuel/will-i-be-able-to-hail-a-driverless-2lIA6zLStc).
- Resolves yes if I can book a ride from Oakland to SF (or reverse) and successfully do so.
- The ride must not have a safety driver.
- (If I book a trip but do have a safety driver, I will try at least one more time to get a ride without one) (If I am not physically able to attempt to book a ride to check for myself, I will resolve N/A)
