Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 23 okt 2026, 21:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 56.4%
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 38 minuten geleden
7 apr 26, 14:55 UTC31 dec 27, 05:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves YES if hafnium unwrought metal price exceeds 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2027.
- What is being measured: Hafnium unwrought metal spot price (USD/kg) on or nearest to December 31, 2027, based on USGS MCS annual average (for yearly markets) or Asian Metal / Argus Metals International spot quotes (for quarterly markets).
- YES if: Hafnium spot price >= 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2027 NO if: Hafnium spot price < 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Hafnium section (usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs) Published February annually; covers prior calendar year average price
- Asian Metal — hafnium unwrought China domestic price (asianmetal.com)
