Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 93.6%
Voorspellers
31
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd8 apr 22, 22:06 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the UK abolish the Monarchy before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Universal Studios Great Britain open before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
KalshiWill Northern Ireland hold a referendum on leaving the UK before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNorthern Ireland Assembly election winner?
KalshiRegels
This market resolves Yes if the state known as or formally known as the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolishes its monarchy and becomes a republic before 0:00 1 January 2030.
- Whether other Commonwealth countries continue to have monarchs from the line of Queen Elizabeth II is irrelevant.
- Should any constituent country of the UK leave the union before this point, the question refers only to the rump state rather than to the seceding state.
- The question will resolve ambiguously should the successor state of the current UK become impossible to clearly identify.
- #UK #Politics
