KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 77%
Marktkwaliteit
45 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 823
Liquiditeit
€ 1,1K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
13.0% / 22.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
13 sep 26, 20:00 UTC1 jan 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
KalshiWill there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Northern Ireland hold a referendum on leaving the UK before 2040?
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SmarketsGeorgia vs. Northern Ireland
PolymarketRegels
If Northern Ireland agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to hold a border poll on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum??
- Kalshi prijst No op 77% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? afgewikkeld?
- Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Northern Ireland agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to hold a border poll on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.