Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 86.7% per 27 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.0pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+33.0pt89%

+15 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 5,2 mln.

24u volume

€ 314,6K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt30.7%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.0pt21.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.9pt16.8%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.3pt56.8%
• Gemini+1.9pt32.3%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• America First+52.0pt99.5%
• Working Class / Middle Class+40.0pt99.5%
• Oil / Gas / Gasoline+62.0pt

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+9.3pt96%
• ↑$1.75T+3.5pt82%
• ↑$2.0T+9.0pt68%

+11 extra uitkomsten

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• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
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