Will Gitmo or Cecot transition from concentration camps to full blown extermination camps by the 2028 US election?
PolitiekOne-OffGezondheid en geneeskundeVerkiezingMisdaad en justitie2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 19 okt 2026, 17:17 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 82%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 52 minuten geleden
Vertraagd1 apr 25, 22:46 UTC4 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
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Gitmo here means all detention centres in US controlled Guantanamo Bay.
- Cecot here means the Centre for Confinement of Terrorism in El Salvador.
- Being a full blown extermination camp here means that there is verified evidence in mainstream media that >10% of US deportees sent there have been killed or sentenced to death, with killing including not only direct execution but also deaths from overworking, neglect, starvation, and disease where it is intentionally brought about by the operators of the facilities.
- Update 2025-04-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Timing:
- Initial Resolution: An initial resolution will be made soon after the market close date to avoid locking up mana unnecessarily.
- Re-resolution: The market will be re-resolved if new, verified, reputable evidence emerges after the initial resolution.
