Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 20:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 82%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd16 apr 25, 19:11 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump succeed in revoking the citizenship of any birthright US citizen?
Manifold MarketsWill I (an 18-year-old male US citizen) be drafted into the US military before Jan 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill any male US Citizen be convicted of a sex crime related to the Jeffrey Epstein investigation?
Manifold MarketsWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump sit for a deposition in his BBC lawsuit?
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before December 31, 2028, at least one U.S. citizen is confirmed to have been detained in El Salvador's Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT).
- The person must have been a citizen at the time that they were detained; if they lost their citizenship then it does not count.
- The confirmation must come from credible news sources or official government statements.
- If no such detention is confirmed by the end of 2028, the market will resolve to "No."
- The Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT) is a maximum-security prison in Tecoluca, El Salvador, inaugurated in January 2023.
