Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 94.2%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jan 23, 22:46 UTC1 jan 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
PolymarketJimmy Kimmel: Fired in 2026?
KalshiRegels
Fox News, a popular news organization.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
Open markten
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,9 mln.
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24,5 mln.
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24,6 mln.
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,6 mln.
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 94% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Fox News, a popular news organization.