Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 19:55 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 80.2%
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd18 apr 25, 15:44 UTC31 dec 32, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
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PolymarketRegels
Elon used to vote democrat, post stuff about his support for LGBT people, and was a hero of the climate movement.
- That is... no longer the case.
- But maybe it will be once again?
- Resolves based on my judgement of the vibes.
- Simply becoming more critical of the Trump admin would not be sufficient, he has to firmly be left-coded.
- Update 2025-07-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Joining or supporting the America Party will not be sufficient for a YES resolution.
