Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 74%
Voorspellers
19
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd14 nov 24, 09:08 UTC8 jan 31, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)
Manifold MarketsWill the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
PolymarketWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegels
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Satoshi Nakamoto has appeared on a published video/audio podcast with Dwarkesh Patel before January 1st 2031.
Open markten
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 936K
- 24u volume
- € 714,5K
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,000 or above98%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 567,2K
- 24u volume
- € 564,3K
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $79,365.65 target
- No84%
- Yes16%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 482,8K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $78,700 or above99%
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,600 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 403K
- 24u volume
- € 382,6K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2 mln.
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 74% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031? afgewikkeld?
- Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031? wordt naar verwachting op 8 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Satoshi Nakamoto has appeared on a published video/audio podcast with Dwarkesh Patel before January 1st 2031.