Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 57.1%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 20 uur geleden
Verouderd4 sep 25, 00:04 UTC3 feb 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- Resolve YES if, as of 23:59:59 UTC on February 28, 2030, Dubai has a strictly higher number of completed skyscrapers (buildings ≥150 m) than New York City, per the Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat (CTBUH) “Skyscraper Center” city pages for Dubai and New York City (city proper, not metro).
- Links: Dubai and New York City.
- If these pages are inaccessible or lack explicit counts, use Wikipedia’s “List of cities with the most skyscrapers – By city proper,” which reproduces CTBUH counts; if the two sources conflict, CTBUH prevails.
- Ties (equal counts) resolve NO.
- Buildings count only if CTBUH lists them as “Completed” by the cutoff; later reclassifications visible at resolution time are honored.
