Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 59.9%
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd2 nov 23, 00:34 UTC2 jan 30, 05:00 UTC
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PolymarketHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiRegels
Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/7790/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve positive if before 2030, credible media reports indicate that there have been sustained hurricane-force winds of at least 33 meters per second for one minute at 10m above the surface of some point within the city limits of New York City
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
Open markten
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 11, 2026?
- Washington DC+34.0pt99%
- Houston+26.0pt74%
- Atlanta72%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 102,5K
- 24u volume
- € 96,6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 11, 2026?
- 86° or above78.8%
- 84° to 85°14.4%
- 82° to 83°3.9%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 44,8K
- 24u volume
- € 44,8K
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay38%
- Gonzalo-7.0pt23%
- Isaias+5.0pt21%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 11, 2026?
- 80° to 81°48.5%
- 82° to 83°34%
- 78° to 79°10.7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 23,9K
- 24u volume
- € 23,9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
- 79° to 80°46.1%
- 81° to 82°32.7%
- 78° or below17.3%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 21,8K
- 24u volume
- € 21,7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 11, 2026?
- 90° to 91°51.9%
- 88° to 89°27.9%
- 92° to 93°14.4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 20,4K
- 24u volume
- € 20,2K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 60% per 11 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?