Will Donald Trump finally get sentenced to the Big House (or worse) after he leaves office in 2029?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingSportMisdaad en justitieEntertainmentGolfAmerikaanse politiekManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 80.5%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd31 mrt 26, 13:26 UTC9 aug 56, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will I believe Trump called out for shutting down the internet before he leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill any municipality in Ontario get amalgamated before Doug Ford leaves office?
Manifold MarketsClavicular sentenced to prison by which date?
PolymarketJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PolymarketRegels
After four years of presidential immunity vibes, will The Donald actually hear a judge say “You’re going away for a while” once he’s back to being a regular (extremely loud) citizen? This market is all about that post-presidency court drama .
- Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if, anytime after January 20, 2029: • A U.S. court formally sentences him to prison or jail time (any length - months, years, life… whatever the menu offers) OR • Sentences him to the death penalty.
- Resolves NO only if he passes away without ever getting such a sentence.
- Timeframe No rush - legal things move at the speed of a very slow golf cart.
- The market stays open until either he gets the sentence or he shuffles off this mortal coil.
