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Nee 93.3%
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23
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd2 aug 23, 03:57 UTC1 jan 35, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Donald Trump die?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
PolymarketYoon out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
As opposed to being under secret service protection.
- This likely would mean he was convicted and is under house arrest, but doesn't have total freedom of movement.
Open markten
US Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 592,5K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 220,4K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 214,6K
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 93% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody? afgewikkeld?
- Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2035 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As opposed to being under secret service protection.