Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 96.9%
Voorspellers
33
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd18 dec 25, 20:26 UTC31 dec 26, 20:25 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
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FutuurRegels
Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States on Monday, January 20, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Trump remains president through December 31, 2026.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer serving as president by that date, including through resignation, removal via the 25th Amendment, impeachment and conviction, or any other means of losing the office.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official White House website (whitehouse.gov) or major news sources confirming the sitting president on December 31, 2026.
- Trump previously served as the 45th President from 2017 to 2021, making him the second President in American history to serve two nonconsecutive terms.
Open markten
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Totaal volume
- € 847,7K
- 24u volume
- € 668,8K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,7 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria