Will "Do not conquer what you cannot defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffTech1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 71%
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Verouderd16 apr 26, 09:47 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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Will "Let goodness conquer all that it can defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegels
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Do not conquer what you cannot defend is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 944,1K
- 24u volume
- € 721,8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Totaal volume
- € 620K
- 24u volume
- € 536K
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
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- 24u volume
- € 496,9K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "Do not conquer what you cannot defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 71% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will "Do not conquer what you cannot defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?
- Will "Do not conquer what you cannot defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will "Do not conquer what you cannot defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.