Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 67.4%
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8
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
19 aug 26, 08:25 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 New Mexico Governor's Election?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves yes if a candidate listed on the ballot as a Democrat wins
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.8pt95%
- Yes-13.8pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 18 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,9 mln.
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt75.3%
- New People (NL)+1.9pt20.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt2%
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.4pt19%
- Gavin Newsom+4.5pt17%
- Jon Ossoff-0.9pt16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 189,4 mln.
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.2pt36.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+0.5pt12.2%
+38 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 67% per 16 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? afgewikkeld?
- Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves yes if a candidate listed on the ballot as a Democrat wins