Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 85.5%
Voorspellers
44
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
11 apr 26, 14:01 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketWhich party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
PolymarketWho will be a part of the next government of Israel?
KalshiWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu be pardoned by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party secures a majority of seats in the United States House of Representatives following the 2026 midterm elections.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
- Resolution will be determined by the official certification of results by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives and reports from authoritative news outlets such as the Associated Press.
- If the control of the House remains unclear due to contested results, legal challenges, or a split that prevents a majority, the market will resolve based on which party is recognized as the majority in the opening session of the 120th Congress.
- The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections will determine the composition of the 120th Congress.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 606,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 721K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 411,2K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 86% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ? afgewikkeld?
- Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ? wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria