Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 66.8%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd9 sep 26, 12:55 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party's nominee wins the 2028 United States presidential election.
- It resolves to NO if any other candidate (Republican, third-party, or independent) wins the election.
- The outcome will be determined by the official certification of the Electoral College votes by the U.S. Congress, typically scheduled for January 2029.
- In the event of a contingent election in the House of Representatives, the winner of that contingent election will determine the resolution.
- Reliable major news sources reporting the certified winner—such as the Associated Press or Reuters—will be used for verification.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 1,8 mln.
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 extra uitkomsten
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will democrats take back the white house in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 67% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will democrats take back the white house in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will democrats take back the white house in 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will democrats take back the white house in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria