Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 74.3%
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd19 sep 26, 20:39 UTC11 nov 26, 11:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Iowa Governor Election Winner
PolymarketIowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketWhich party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?
PolymarketWill Democrats win Iowa in 2026?
Manifold MarketsDemocrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
- This market resolves to NO if any other candidate (including the Republican nominee, third-party candidates, or write-ins) wins.
- Resolution will be based on the official certified election results published by the Iowa Secretary of State.
- If official certification is delayed or legally contested, the market may resolve based on a consensus of major national news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, NBC News, CNN) once a projected winner is widely acknowledged.
- If the election is postponed past 2026, the market will resolve based on the next completed election held to determine the successor to the current term.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 133,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 947,3K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 194,6 mln.
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 28,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 523,8K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 30,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 493,5K
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 74.3% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election? afgewikkeld?
- Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election? wordt naar verwachting op 11 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria