Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 98%
Voorspellers
15
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd16 nov 24, 06:47 UTC4 jan 27, 05:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRepublicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketWhen will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if, at any point during the 1st session of the 119th Congress (noon 1/3/25 to noon 1/3/27), a plurality of sitting members in the US House of Representatives caucus with the Democratic Party, AND the Speaker of the House is a member of the Democratic Party.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 193,6 mln.
- 24u volume
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 506,4K
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 843,4K
- 24u volume
- € 408K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Democrats regain a House majority between elections??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 98% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Democrats regain a House majority between elections? afgewikkeld?
- Will Democrats regain a House majority between elections? wordt naar verwachting op 4 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Democrats regain a House majority between elections? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if, at any point during the 1st session of the 119th Congress (noon 1/3/25 to noon 1/3/27), a plurality of sitting members in the US House of Representatives caucus with the Democratic Party, AND the Speaker of the House is a member of the Democratic Party.