Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.1%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd8 jun 26, 16:26 UTC31 dec 33, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsDemis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Demis Hassabis leave Google?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
Kalshi2026 Nobel Physics winner?
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Sir Demis Hassabis is officially announced as a recipient of the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine, either individually or jointly.
- The official source of truth is the Nobel Prize announcement page: https://www.nobelprize.org/
- The market will resolve to NO if he has not been awarded the prize by the market's closing date.
- In 2024, Demis Hassabis was jointly awarded the Nobel Prize in Chemistry alongside John M. Jumper and David Baker for their breakthrough work on predicting protein structures using the AI model AlphaFold.
- Prior to receiving the Chemistry Nobel, Hassabis won the Albert Lasker Award for Basic Medical Research in 2023, which is widely considered the "American Nobel" in medicine.
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 325K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 85% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine? afgewikkeld?
- Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2033 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria