Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 72.9%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 45 minuten geleden
Vertraagd22 aug 25, 21:56 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026.
- Update 2026-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A qualifying model must be independent (not open-sourced) and sold commercially, whether via API access or subscription.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Totaal volume
- € 225,9K
- 24u volume
- € 157K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 348,3K
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- DeepSeek market share this week
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 73% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026.