Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026?
One-OffCommoditiesTrade PolicyChinaGeopolitiek6dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 88.4%
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17 feb 26, 09:01 UTC15 sep 26, 09:01 UTC
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Resolves YES if the average global prices of neodymium, dysprosium, and samarium magnets increase by more than 20% from their baseline prices as of December 1, 2025, by September 15, 2026.
- The baseline and subsequent prices will be verified using data from authoritative sources such as the US Geological Survey (USGS) and industry reports from Roskill and Adamas Intelligence.
- The new Chinese export restrictions, effective December 1, 2025, are expected to significantly impact global supply chains, potentially leading to price increases due to limited availability and increased geopolitical tensions.
- This threshold is critical as it reflects the anticipated market response to these restrictions, which could disrupt supply and elevate prices significantly.
- Source: Article
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- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
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KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
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+67 extra uitkomsten
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- Totaal volume
- € 113,6K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 88% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 15 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if the average global prices of neodymium, dysprosium, and samarium magnets increase by more than 20% from their baseline prices as of December 1, 2025, by September 15, 2026.