Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
2030 33.8%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd10 jan 24, 17:29 UTC30 dec 33, 19:30 UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.4%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Russia land someone on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhen will any European countries land someone on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
PolymarketRegels
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Lunar_Exploration_Program#:~:text=On%2012%20July%202023%2C%20at,Moon%20by%20the%20year%202030.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will China land someone on the moon on this year??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2030 op 34% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will China land someone on the moon on this year? afgewikkeld?
- Will China land someone on the moon on this year? wordt naar verwachting op 30 december 2033 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will China land someone on the moon on this year? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Lunar_Exploration_Program#:~:text=On%2012%20July%202023%2C%20at,Moon%20by%20the%20year%202030.