Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 65.4%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd5 jun 26, 00:15 UTC29 feb 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Will China fly taikonauts in cislunar space before Chinese New Year 2028?
- As long as they are withing the sphere of influence it counts.
- https://spacepolicyonline.com/news/isaacman-chinese-taikonauts-likely-to-fly-around-moon-in-2027/
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if China launches a crewed spacecraft carrying at least one human astronaut (taikonaut) that successfully enters cislunar space or the Moon's gravitational sphere of influence (including lunar flybys, circumlunar trajectories, lunar orbit, or landing) before Chinese New Year 2028
- While China's officially declared objective is to land taikonauts on the lunar surface by 2030, observers and aerospace officials have suggested precursor missions are planned.
