Will California Proposition 38 ($8.4B immunology research bond) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
PolitiekOne-OffObligaties en staatsleningenGezondheid en geneeskundeVerkiezing22dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 50%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
6 okt 26, 06:34 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will California Proposition 1 ($11.25B housing bond) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia Immunology Research Bond Proposition
PolymarketWill California Proposition 42 (ban on new state personal property taxes) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 45 (faster CEQA environmental review) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 41 (tax limits and special-tax audits) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
KalshiRegels
This market resolves YES if California Proposition 38 (Authorizes Bonds for Immunology Medical Research.
- Initiative Statute.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Simple majority of votes cast on the measure (Cal.
- II §10(a); art.
- XVIII §4 for amendments).
- If conflicting measures both pass, the one with more yes votes prevails (art.