KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
No, ≥1% · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Opgeslagen prijs
No, ≥1% 67%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
No, ≥1% 67%Marktkwaliteit
42 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 894,9
Open interest
€ 10,7K
Gemiddelde open interestBied / Laat
— / —
No, ≥1%Spread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
22 sep 26, 03:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · No, ≥1%
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
KalshiCalifornia Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent
KalshiWill California Proposition 38 ($8.4B immunology research bond) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 42 (ban on new state personal property taxes) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 45 (faster CEQA environmental review) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 41 (tax limits and special-tax audits) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:California Secretary of State
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by No minus the vote share received by the option that finishes immediately behind No if No wins, or the option that finishes first if No loses. If No wins, the margin will be positive; if No loses, the margin will be negative; if No ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Regels per uitkomst
- No, ≥1%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥10%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥4%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥13%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥16%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥7%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥19%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 19%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥22%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 22%, then the market resolves to Yes.
