Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezingGeopolitiekChina9jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.7%
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12
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
7 sep 26, 06:08 UTC31 dec 35, 23:59 UTC
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There could be many potential reasons, one is that AGI could become extremely dominating militarily in a way that gives the state high (bargaining) powers
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2035, at 11:59 PM PT, California has officially seceded from the United States or is otherwise formally recognized as an independent, sovereign nation-state separate from the United States federal government.
- To resolve to YES, at least one of the following conditions must be met:
- De Facto Sovereignty (similar to Taiwan): California successfully establishes full military and political autonomy, completely voids U.S. federal jurisdiction over its territory, and obtains formal diplomatic recognition as an independent state from the United States or admission as a member state of the United Nations.
- Federal Recognition: The United States federal government officially recognizes California's secession and sovereign independence through an Act of Congress, a ratified constitutional amendment, or a binding Supreme Court ruling.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2035 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: There could be many potential reasons, one is that AGI could become extremely dominating militarily in a way that gives the state high (bargaining) powers