Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 91.1% per 26 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050? afgewikkeld?

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2050 afgewikkeld.

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd

Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:03 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Nee 91.1%

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden

Verouderd

4 okt 23, 08:36 UTC1 jan 50, 22:59 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Regels

Ever since its incorporation into the German Empire in 1871, calls for a Bavarian independent state have been loud and numerous.

As one of Germany's most populous and richest states with a strong regional identity, Bavarian separatists argue that the German government infringes on its sovereign rights and worsens quality of life by taking resources away from Bavaria through financial redistribution, for example.
In some ways, it's reminiscent of other separatist movements such as those of Scotland or Catalonia.
[image]However, according to a 2017 YouGov poll, only 32% of Bavarians would support independence, and the only party in favour of it (Bavaria Party) does not currently have enough votes to enter parliament.