Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 96.4%
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8
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd16 sep 23, 14:47 UTC2 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Griffin-1 successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRegels
For a successful mission the Blue Moon HLS lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon? afgewikkeld?
- Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: For a successful mission the Blue Moon HLS lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational.