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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd12 feb 25, 23:33 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?
Manifold MarketsWho will land humans on the Moon first: SpaceX or Blue Origin?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRegels
Background Blue Origin plans to land its Blue Moon MK1 cargo lander on the moon in 2025, with a timeline of 12-16 months from early 2024.
- The mission will use Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket.
- The Blue Moon MK1 is designed to deliver up to 3 metric tons of cargo.
- SpaceX is scheduled to conduct an uncrewed Starship demo landing on the moon in 2025 as part of NASA's timeline.
- SpaceX's mission is more complex, requiring multiple tanker refuelings in orbit for its Starship HLS.
- Resolution Criteria This market resolves YES if Blue Origin successfully lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the lunar surface before SpaceX successfully lands an uncrewed Starship on the lunar surface.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,1 mln.
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+19.0pt57%
- 180-199-5.5pt35%
- 200-219-6.8pt5%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 319,9K
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.3%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.2%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.3%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.6%
- Yes49.4%
- Totaal volume
- € 217,2K
- 24u volume
- € 215,2K
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- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
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- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 77% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? afgewikkeld?
- Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Background Blue Origin plans to land its Blue Moon MK1 cargo lander on the moon in 2025, with a timeline of 12-16 months from early 2024.
- Waar wordt Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.