Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]?

Manifold Markets prijst No op 61.3% per 26 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION] afgewikkeld?

Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION] wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION] afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I don't mean "achieves SOTA on one benchmark", or "is the best FOSS model", I mean "is the equivalent of what GPT-4 is right now".

Gebruik deze markt in code of in een AI-agent

Gratis JSON voor deze markt, geen API-sleutel nodig:

AI-agents: roep pm_data_event aan op de MCP-server van CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+12.0pt95%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+24.0pt88%

+15 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 5,2 mln.

24u volume

€ 313,2K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt30.5%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.6pt20%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt17.1%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.1pt56.6%
• Gemini+1.8pt32.6%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.5pt100%
• $AAI-9.8pt0%
• $ANAI-2.8pt0%

+6 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+2.5pt96%
• October 31-7.8pt37%
• October 30-12.5pt32%

+17 extra uitkomsten

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