Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 83.2%
Voorspellers
105
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd9 feb 23, 15:48 UTC31 dec 29, 22:01 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiRegels
Market resolves to YES if:
- At least one movie with footage that is entirely generated by a text-to-video AI is nominated for an Oscar before 2030.
- Everything else can be done by humans, including music score, script-writing, dialogue and editing, provided all of the original footage is AI-generated.
- The movie can be nominated in any category.
- Close date updated to 2030-01-01 12:01 am
