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Ja 71%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd14 mrt 23, 23:02 UTC14 mrt 33, 23:59 UTC
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In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will AI be a top 3 political issue for voters?
Manifold MarketsMulti year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
PolymarketWho IPOs first?
MyriadRegels
Some singularitarians and transhumanists seem to have an almost childlike naivete about economic growth.
- No matter how fast AI develops technology, if politicians and government bureaucrats place enough roadblocks in the way of new technology, it won't be able to solve the problems it's supposed to solve.
- For example, in the UK, the planning system has made it almost impossible to build new onshore wind turbines and solar farms, and has even made it more difficult to build new offshore wind turbines:
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/fCLHfjNTldQ)So at a certain point, politics becomes the limiting factor, not technology.
- In the UK, it won't matter how good wind turbine technology gets, if NIMBYs can still block most wind turbines from ever being erected.
- In California, it won't matter how good prefabricated home technology gets and how good house-building robots get, if NIMBYs can still block most new housing from ever being constructed.
Open markten
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 9pm EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 566,6K
- 24u volume
- € 548,4K
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.2pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.7pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 248,7K
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 71% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033? afgewikkeld?
- Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033? wordt naar verwachting op 14 maart 2033 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Some singularitarians and transhumanists seem to have an almost childlike naivete about economic growth.