Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 94.9%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 33 minuten geleden
9 apr 26, 18:47 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiWill SUI and APTOS blockchains merge into a single network by December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy December 31, 2026, Apple will acquire, merge with, or otherwise legally take control of Anthropic.
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if by 2026-12-31 a completed transaction results in Aleph Alpha and Cohere operating under common corporate control (>50% voting power).
- Signed-but-unclosed agreements, minority stakes, partnerships, and asset-only deals do not count.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Totaal volume
- € 225,9K
- 24u volume
- € 157K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 348,3K
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 95% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if by 2026-12-31 a completed transaction results in Aleph Alpha and Cohere operating under common corporate control (>50% voting power).