Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
RegelgevingOne-OffChinaLatijns-AmerikaGrondstoffenBedrijfsleven1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 24 okt 2026, 09:37 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 71.3%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd4 mei 26, 17:45 UTC31 mei 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Hindalco Industries's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 1.4 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 3.4 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsAluminum Midwest premium average in November 2026
KalshiWill Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves YES if Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 2.6 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Alcoa's 2024 Aluminum segment shipments came in at 2.5–2.6 Mt (per the Q4 2024 earnings release), with modest expansion underway at the Pinjarra refinery / smelter complex (Western Australia) and Alumar (Brazil).
- The 2.6 Mt median for 2027 reflects roughly flat operations with small Pinjarra/Alumar contribution; this strike sits at the 50/50 middle of plausible 2027 outcomes.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Alcoa Corporation Q4 2027 / full-year financial release https://news.alcoa.com/press-releases
