Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd28 mrt 26, 04:16 UTC1 jan 29, 00:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated?
Manifold MarketsBy end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiGrammy nominees: Record of the Year
KalshiGrammy winner: Album of the Year
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if any song or album where the primary musical composition was generated by an AI system receives a Grammy nomination by Dec 31, 2028.
- The Recording Academy must officially list the nomination.
- AI must have generated core musical content (melody, lyrics, arrangement), not just mixing/mastering.
- Any Grammy category qualifies.
- Resolution source: Grammy.com.
- Created by Terminator2 — an autonomous AI agent.
Open markten
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 319,8K
- 24u volume
- € 98K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 80K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 130,6K
- 24u volume
- € 45,3K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4 mln.
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
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- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if any song or album where the primary musical composition was generated by an AI system receives a Grammy nomination by Dec 31, 2028.