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Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
3 mrt 24, 23:11 UTC1 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Magic the Gathering unban any of the 7 'racist' cards before the end of 2028?
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PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves to Yes if an AI has the strength to beat world champions in Magic the Gathering before the end of 2028
- If AI were able to beat the world champion in any one of the major format, Draft, Constructed or Sealed, it would count as a resolve Yes.
- The AI doesnt have to actually be participating in the world championship (it likely would not), but as long as the AI demonstrated consistent strength in beating current world champion in repeated games (70% win rate with 10+ games played) that would count as a Yes.
- AI doesn't necessarily have to beat the current world champion.
- Beating any of the top 20 in the world within past 3 years is sufficient.
- The goal is to demonstrate that the AI has the strength to likely win against the world champion.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Totaal volume
- € 224,7K
- 24u volume
- € 160,5K
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 344,9K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 66% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves to Yes if an AI has the strength to beat world champions in Magic the Gathering before the end of 2028