Will a privately-held company ever become the most valuable in the world?
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Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 05:51 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 81.5%
Voorspellers
9
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd17 okt 26, 17:53 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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Will a company that is privately held (never held an IPO, or a public company that has been taken private) ever be valued more than the most valuable public company? By market close.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at any point a privately-held company achieves an implied or transaction-based equity valuation greater than the market capitalization of the world's most valuable publicly listed company at that same time.
- For the purposes of this market:
- A privately-held company is defined as an operating commercial enterprise whose equity shares are not publicly traded on a recognized stock exchange (including companies that have never executed an IPO, as well as previously public companies that have been taken private).
- State-owned sovereign enterprises or government ministries whose shares do not have private equity ownership stakes or primary third-party private equity financing rounds are excluded.
