Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 89.6%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd13 jun 26, 15:39 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?
Manifold MarketsWill any frontier-class model training run be announced with >$1B total compute cost before 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill a major city in Europe have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegels
"Mythos-class" is ambiguous and will be resolved according to general opinion.
- "Generally available" excludes e.g. access controls based on citizenship. "Worldwide" means to all countries where a company supports its services (e.g. OpenAI's supported countries list https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/supported-countries.)