Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 92.5%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
1 okt 26, 07:17 UTC31 okt 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic officially releases a new model in the "Haiku" tier during the month of October 2026 (between October 1, 2026, and October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- To qualify for a YES resolution, the model must meet the following conditions:
- It must be officially announced by Anthropic or listed as a generally available or publicly accessible to claude.ai, Claude Code, or API users.
- It must explicitly feature "Haiku" in its official name (e.g., Claude Haiku 5.5).
