Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiek2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96.8%
Voorspellers
27
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd5 jul 25, 21:36 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?
KalshiWill the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 54 or more Senate Seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032
Manifold MarketsWill any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if a candidate who is neither a Democrat or a Republican, and is supported by Elon Musk, is elected to the US Senate or House of Representatives by the end of 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
