Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 60.2%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 58 minuten geleden
Vertraagd1 aug 26, 16:22 UTC1 jan 29, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster at chess by EOY 2035?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
If a large language models beats a super grandmaster (Classic elo of above 2,700) while playing blind chess by 2028, this market resolves to YES.
- I will ignore fun games, at my discretion.
- (Say a game where Hiraku loses to ChatGPT because he played the Bongcloud)
- Some clarification (28th Mar 2023): This market grew fast with a unclear description.
- My idea is to check whether a general intelligence can play chess, without being created specifically for doing so (like humans aren't chess playing machines).
- Some previous comments I did.
