Will a full ship-to-ship cryogenic propellant transfer in orbit be achieved by end of 2026?
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Verouderd14 sep 26, 15:57 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if any organization successfully demonstrates a ship-to-ship transfer of cryogenic propellant in orbit before January 1, 2027 ("on orbit refueling").
- Only fuel transfer between two separate free-flying spacecraft qualifies as such, not internal tank-to-tank on a single vehicle.
- Candidates that would qualify:
- SpaceX's Starship "Chaser"/"Target" propellant transfer demo (NET Q4 2026 as of Sept 2026)
- NASA/Rocket Lab's Eta Space LOXSAT cryogenic fluid management mission, if it completes an inter-spacecraft transfer within the window
- Any other national space agency or company demonstration meeting the ship-to-ship criterion
